150233 Quantitative Risk Assessment

Details
Department of Large Animal Sciences
Earliest Possible YearPost experience Master´s Programme
DurationOutside schedule
 
Credits5 (ECTS)
Course LevelPost experience masters programme
Module 3C, Masterprogramme in Veterinary Public Health
 
ExaminationFinal Examination

written examination and oral examination


All aids allowed

Description of Examination: Each participant must submit an individual project report. The report is defended at an oral exam with 15 minutes for presentation, and 15 minutes for questions from the examiners.

Weight: Project report counts 70% and the oral exam counts 30%



7-point scale, external examiner
 
Requirement For Attending ExamParticipation in the whole course
 
Organisation of TeachingThe course includes lectures and theoretical and practical training in disease outbreak management. The course ends with an examination or submission of a written report.
 
Block PlacementOutside schedule
Week Structure: Outside schedule, The course lasts 5 full days, plus project and exam
Theoretical exercises takes place in the class room and in the computer lab.

 
Teaching LanguageEnglish
 
Mandatory PrerequisitesThe participant is required to have completed a basic education relevant for the course topic, e.g. DVM.
 
Restrictions20
 
Course Contents
Lectures and exercises:
- Probability and probability distributions (defining probability, probability rules, deterministic analysis)
- Probabilistic analysis (uncertainty and variability)
- Theorems underpining probabilistic analysis (binomial theorem, central limit theorem, Bayes' theorem)
- Probability distributions (poisson porcess, other distributions)
- Probability processes and predictive values (binomial versus hypergeometric process, predictive values, combining tests)
- Determining a distribution to represent a variable (parametric & nonparametric techniques, Bayesian inference)
- Advanced modeling techniques
- Guidelines for developing a quantitative risk assessment model
 
Teaching And Learning Methods
Participants are provided with introductory texts to read before the course. During the course lectures and exercises are given in alternating order. Participants work individually and in groups at the theoretical and at the practical exercises, and with emphasis on practical applicaition of risk estimation of introducing disease into a susceptible population. After the course master students must select a topic for the individual project report relevant for the daily job or for the competences the participant wants to achive. The course lasts 1 week (37,5 hours), and the project, report writing and exam is expected to last ca. 100 hours.
 
Learning Outcome
At the end of the course, it is expected that the participant can do the following:

Knowledge:
- define and describe potential disease risks at the farm, regional, national and international level
- chose among methods for risk estimations
- critically select among control strategies based on risk estimation

Skills:
- participate in the analysis of data and provide relevant information as input in risk estimation
- evaluate alternative control options based on risk analysis

Comptences:
- collaborate scientifically and administratively with parties involved in disease control
- carry out disease control activities based on scientific modeling input
- take responsibility and make decisions as a veterinary practitioner, as an official veterinarian or as veterinarian in agricultural organisations or research institutions.
 
Course Coordinator
Jens Frederik Gramstrup Agger, jfa@life.ku.dk, Department of Large Animal Sciences/Populationsbiology, Phone: 35333013
 
Attendance Fee
DKK 8000
 
Study Board
Study Committee MSN
 
Course Scope
lectures18
theoretical exercises19
project work96.5
examination4

137.5